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ARA independent product stocks rise

Gepubliceerd Jacob on 8 februari 2019 14:09:22

Oil product stocks held in independent storage tanks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub rose marginally during the past week, prompted by gains in gasoil and fuel oil inventories.

Fuel oil stocks climbed this week on week because of higher imports. The ARA region received fuel oil from Finland, France, Latvia, Poland, Russia, the US and the UK. One tanker left Rotterdam for west Africa with a fuel oil cargo to supply the local bunkering market. Falling freight rates on the Europe to Singapore route boosted demand for very large crude carrier (VLCC) cargoes.

Diesel stocks also rose during the past week. The economics for importing diesel form the Middle East to Europe firmed last week, stimulating flows from the east. Meanwhile, cold weather in the US bolstered demand for diesel, making less material available to be shipped to Europe. It also pushed prices higher, denting the economics for exporting the product.

Gasoline stocks fell during the past week. The northwest European and Mediterranean markets remain well-supplied with gasoline. US gasoline stocks have been rising, dampening demand for European products. The latest report from the EIA showed that stocks on the Atlantic coast — crucial for arbitrage economics between the US and Europe — hit the highest level since February 2017 during the week to 1 February. Likewise, the outlook for exports to the Middle East is bleak, owing to the restart of the 127,000 b/d residual fluid catalytic cracker at the UAE’s Ruwais-2 refinery following a two-year shutdown.

The European naphtha market has also been oversupplied as demand for the product from gasoline blenders has been at a low level because of weak margins. Demand for naphtha from the petrochemicals sector has also been soft as rival feedstock propane has been more competitive. But stocks fell marginally as some product was exported to South Korea.

And jet fuel stocks fell slightly from the prior week as the ARA region exported product to the UK and Ireland, while some jet fuel was imported from India. The tanker N Mars arrived into Rotterdam on 1 February with 60,000t of jet fuel from India.

Reporter: Sergei Balashov

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ARA independent product stocks remain stable

Gepubliceerd Jacob on 21 januari 2019 11:12:50

London – Oil product volumes held in independent storage tanks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub were broadly unchanged on the week today.

Gasoil inventories rose this week. Demand from the European hinterland rose week on week to reach its highest level since May 2018, with falling temperatures continuing to bolster demand for heating oil. But the increase in barge flows was more than offset by an rise in seaborne volumes from from Latvia, Russia and the US, for the second consecutive week.

Fuel oil inventories fell week on week. The very large crude carrier (VLCC) As Suwayq remained in Rotterdam loading a 270,000t for Singapore delivery. Three eastbound VLCC bookings have emerged so far during January, compared with none in December. This is mostly a result of falling freight rates, and high inventories in Europe compared with the Asia-Pacific region. A single Suezmax departed for Singapore during the week to today.

Gasoline stocks remained around the nine-month high recorded in recent weeks. Ample supply in north America weighed on demand from the US Atlantic coast and the US Gulf, weighing on northwest European prices and stimulating an increase in tanker bookings for destinations east of Suez.

Naphtha inventories fell as a result of firm demand from inland petrochemical end-users. An anticipated fall in Rhine water levels helped add urgency to naphtha buying from the petrochemical sector this week, but demand from gasoline blenders remained low on ample supply in key markets.

Jet fuel stocks rose amid lower demand week on week. No jet barges were recorded leaving ARA for discharge along the Rhine, and the Long Range 2 (LR2) tanker SFL Trinity arrived in Rotterdam carrying a 90,000t cargo from Ruwais on 15 January. It was not clear whether the entire cargo was offloaded.

Reporter: Tom Warner

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ARA independent product stocks rise

Gepubliceerd Jacob on 11 januari 2019 9:25:29

London: Oil products held in independent storage tanks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub rose on the week today, prompted by a rise in fuel oil stocks.

Gasoil inventories were broadly stable. Demand from the European hinterland rose week on week, with falling temperatures bolstering demand for heating fuels. But the increase in barge flows to inland destinations was more than offset by an increase in seaborne volumes. Tankers arrived from the Baltic, Russia, the US and west Africa and departed for France.

Fuel oil inventories recorded by far the largest increase of the products surveyed, rising by 23.7pc week on week. The very large crude carrier (VLCC) As Suwayq is currently loading a 270,000t cargo in Rotterdam for Singapore delivery. ARA fuel oil inventories typically rise until eastbound outflows become viable. Arbitrage economics to Singapore remain workable with three more VLCC cargoes booked to load between today and 5 February. Fuel oil tankers arrived from France, Poland, Russia and the UK.

Gasoline stocks slightly fell, remaining around the nine-month high recorded a week earlier. Demand for finished grade gasoline from inland consumers rose from a low base, and outflows to the US were also higher. But ample supply in key export markets will continue to exert long-term downward pressure on demand for northwest European gasoline. Tankers left the area for the US, west Africa and Latin America and arrived from France, Italy, Sweden and the UK.

Naphtha inventories fell by 9.4pc following the departure of the Long Range 2 (LR2) tanker Aldana to Asia-pacific with an 80,000t naphtha cargo. Weaker European demand pushed the northwest European naphtha market into contango on 7 January, which is likely to support storage economics as well as additional eastbound flows. Tankers arrived from France, Norway, Portugal, Spain and the UK.

Jet fuel stocks slumped to their lowest since 10 August 2017, falling on the week. Demand from other regions has diverted cargoes away from the ARA area since the start of the year, and tankers have mostly arrived into the UK and France. Storage economics have been impacted by the jet market’s moving into backwardation on 4 January. A single 30,000t cargo arrived in the ARA area from the UK during the reporting period, but had not unloaded at the time of writing. A single tanker departed for the UK this week.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

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Fuel oil build bolsters ARA independent product stocks

Gepubliceerd Jacob on 14 december 2018 14:42:39

London — Oil products held in independent storage tanks in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub increased by 2.4pc on the week today to 5.03mn t.

Fuel oil inventories increased by 22pc on the week to reach an eight week high (see table). The very large crude carrier (VLCC) Neptun is currently awaiting loading in Rotterdam for east of Suez discharge. Tankers arrived from France, Italy, Russia and the UK. Fuel oil stocks can be subject to greater changes as a result of the use of larger tankers to carry cargoes eastward.

Gasoil stocks declined by 5.1pc to their lowest level since 21 June. Inland buyers took advantage of a recovery in Rhine water levels to replenish stocks of diesel and heating oil. Liquidity in the German 10ppm diesel fob ARA barge market has doubled in the last two weeks. German diesel barges also moved to a premium to their Hamburg-delivered cargo counterparts, likely encouraging the sale of smaller parcels for shipment up the Rhine. Tankers arrived in the ARA area from the Baltic and Mediterranean regions, and departed for the UK and west Africa.

Gasoline stocks fell by 1.8pc to a six week low. Cargoes departed for the Mideast Gulf, Canada, the US and west Africa. Transatlantic and west African demand rose on the week, drawing more gasoline out of the area, and flows of gasoline blending components from inland destinations rose to support ARA inventories. Gasoline cargoes arrived from Denmark, Finland, France, the Mediterranean and the UK.

Naphtha inventories rose by 6.3pc as a result of a steady flow of incoming cargoes. Tankers arrived from Algeria, the UK and the US while none departed. Demand from inland petrochemical end-users rose, again supported by the rise in Rhine water levels.

Jet fuel stocks fell by 1.7pc to reach their lowest level since 11 May. A tanker arrived from Finland, likely for use in gasoil blending. A single tanker was recorded leaving for the UK.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

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ARA independent product stocks at one-year low

Gepubliceerd Jacob on 30 november 2018 16:31:54

London – Oil product stocks held in independent storage within the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub fell by 2.4pc on the week today to 4.83mn t, the lowest recorded since 30 November 2017.

Fuel oil stocks fell by 13pc amid strong demand from east of Suez. The Solomon Sea left Rotterdam on 27 November carrying a 100,000t cargo. Smaller tankers also left the ARA area for the Mideast Gulf and west Africa. Cargoes arrived from France, Russia and the UK.

Gasoil stocks fell by 3pc, the lowest level recorded since June. Low Rhine water levels continued to affect the market, limiting barge flows from the ARA into Germany. Market participants continued to use tankers to load gasoil in the ARA area and transporting it to north German seaports for onward distribution. Demand from inland fell on the week, impacted by higher freight rates. Tankers arrived from Russia and departed for Germany, France, the UK and west Africa.

Gasoline stocks rose by 1.1pc. The US Atlantic and Gulf coasts remained well supplied, limiting interest in European gasoline from across the Atlantic. West Africa was the only region to receive gasoline cargoes from the ARA during the week to today. Gasoline flows into Germany were steady but volumes of blending components coming the other way fell on the week because of weakening gasoline refining margins.

Naphtha stocks rose by 28pc. Inventories were supported by the contango structure in the naphtha market, resulting from an ongoing supply overhang. Demand both from gasoline blenders and petrochemical users remained low during the week to today, and barge flows up the river Rhine to inland end-users dwindled. No tankers left the ARA area and tankers arrived from Algeria, Libya, Russia, Sweden and the US.

Jet fuel stocks rose by 1.7pc to a seven-week high of 656,000t. Tankers arrived from the east of Suez into UK ports, easing the regional tightness seen in regional weeks, and demand was lacklustre. The Fos Picasso arrived into Rotterdam on 27 November with 90,000t of jet fuel from the UAE but had not offloaded at time of writing. As with other products, barge flows into Germany were constrained by low water levels.

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ARA independent product stocks reach 11-month low

Gepubliceerd Jacob on 16 november 2018 12:02:45

London, (Argus) — Oil product stocks held in independent storage within the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub fell by 11pc from a week earlier to 4.88mn t, the lowest level recorded since December 2017.

Gasoil stocks fell by 7pc to 2.2mn t, the lowest level recorded since 5 July amid tight supply in Europe. The Swiss government released more gasoil from its strategic reserves today, in order to alleviate persistent supply disruptions. Barge freight rates from the ARA area to Switzerland have risen to around SFr180/t, up from SFr20/t at the beginning of July. Tankers arrived in the ARA area from Russia and the UK, and none departed.

Gasoline stocks fell by 4pc to 899,000t, the lowest level since 13 September. Several tankers left for Mexico and for Nigeria, and vessels also departed for the US and Mideast Gulf. Tankers arrived in the ARA from France, Russia and the UK. Northwest Europe remained amply supplied and flows into Germany continued to outstrip those coming out, in a reversal of the usual pattern.

Fuel oil stocks fell by 27.4pc to 913,000t. The Frio departed Rotterdam during the reporting period carrying a 130,000t cargo to Singapore, and two other vessels also left the area carrying fuel oil cargoes. Demand from east of Suez remained strong, drawing cargoes into the ARA area for future eastbound loadings. Tankers arrived in the area from Latin America, Russia and Spain during the week to today.

Jet fuel stocks fell by 1.2pc to 636,000t. Inland demand continued to be met largely by pipeline flows and there was an uptick in buying interest for dual purpose kerosine, likely from the UK. Stocks remained low as recent backwardation in Ice gasoil futures made storage economics unviable. In addition, some cargoes originally destined for northwest Europe from the US and east of Suez have been diverted to the Caribbean and Africa, limiting prompt availability.

Naphtha fell by 13.4pc to 226,000t. Outflows to inland end-users remained under downward pressure from problems arising from low Rhine water levels. But demand from gasoline blenders in the ARA area appeared higher, amid increasing gasoline outflows from Europe. A single tankers arrived in the ARA area from the UK, and none left. Eastbound arbitrage economics have become unviable on benchmark paraffinic grades over the last week amid ample supply in Asia-Pacific.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

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ARA independent product stocks rise

Gepubliceerd Jacob on 9 november 2018 12:36:10

(Argus) — Oil product stocks held in independent storage within the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub rose by 3.3pc from a week earlier to 5.48mn t, prompted largely by a sharp rise in fuel oil stocks.

Fuel oil stocks rose by 33.3pc to a seven-week high of 1.26mn t. The Eagle San Francisco and the Frio — both Suezmax-sized tankers — are currently in Rotterdam awaiting loading. Firm demand from east of Suez continues to draw smaller cargoes into ARA for loading into larger tankers. Tankers arrived in the ARA area from Canada, France, Latvia, Russia, Spain and the UK. A single tanker left the area for west Africa.

Naphtha stocks also rose, increasing by 8.3pc to 261,000t. Outflows to inland end users remained under downward pressure from problems arising from low Rhine water levels. Naphtha demand from gasoline blenders in northwest Europe also remained low. Dwindling demand from end users in Asia-Pacific limited viable outlets for European naphtha, helping to bring outright prices to their lowest since February, at $545.50/t. Vessels arrived from Algeria, Finland, France, Norway and the UK. None left the area.

Jet kerosene stocks rose by 2.9pc to 644,000t. The Pro Triumph arrived into Rotterdam on 4 November carrying an 80,000t jet fuel cargo from India, and a single tanker departed for the UK. Steep backwardation in underlying Ice gasoil futures made the economics of storing jet fuel in tank unattractive, creating an incentive for end users to consume purchased volumes promptly.

Stocks of gasoil fell by 133,000t to 2.38mn t, the lowest level recorded since 19 July, amid tight supply in Europe. Margins for French 10ppm diesel cargoes on a cif Le Havre basis climbed to $23.85/bl against North Sea Dated yesterday, from $20.48/bl a week earlier — to their widest point since November 2012. Margins have averaged some $14.69/bl in the year to date. Tankers arrived in the ARA area from Russia and the US, and departed for the UK, west Africa and Germany. Low Rhine water levels have prompted market participants to transport gasoil to north German ports on tankers, before sending them inland via rail.

Gasoline stocks fell by 42,000t to 943,000t, the lowest level since late 20 September. Remaining supply of summer-grade product helped incentivise bookings to Argentina and Australia. Tankers also left for Latin America, China and west Africa. Tankers arrived from Denmark, France, Italy, Norway and the UK. Northwest Europe remained amply supplied. As with gasoil, gasoline was increasingly being transported into inland Germany by rail in response to low Rhine water levels.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

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ARA independent product stocks fall

Gepubliceerd Jacob on 26 oktober 2018 15:25:16

(Argus) Oil product stocks held in independent storage within the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub fell by 7.6pc from a week earlier, prompted by a drop in stocks of all products recorded except gasoline.

Stocks of gasoil fell by 11pc to 2.56mn t hitting their lowest level since early September. A lack of incoming cargoes from the US and the Mideast gulf because of higher demand in other key import regions meant that outflows outstripped incoming volumes. Tankers arrived in the ARA area from France, Spain and the UK and departed for Latin America, South Africa, the US and west Africa. Low water levels on the Rhine impacted gasoil flows into Germany further this week.

Most Rhine gasoil barges stayed north of Koblenz, but some passed the bottleneck at Kaub in response to strong demand from upper Rhine destinations. Margins for French 10ppm diesel cargoes on a cif Le Havre basis climbed to $17.59/bl against North Sea Dated yesterday, the widest since 15 August according to Argus data.

Fuel oil stocks fell by 6.8pc to their lowest level since the first week of April, prompted by firm demand from east of Suez. The fall in inventories was prompted by the loading and departure of at least three cargoes during the week to Thursday. The SCF Ural and Chios departed for Singapore during the reporting period carrying 140,000t cargoes, while the Advantage Spring departed with a 130,000t cargo. Tankers arrived in the ARA area from Estonia, the Mediterranean, Russia and the US.

Gasoline stocks were broadly unchanged. Outflows were again supported by exports of summer grade product to destinations in the southern hemisphere. Eurobob oxy gasoline is currently trading at a 43¢/bl discount to North Sea Dated crude for the first time in over seven years, with supply outstripping demand in key export markets. Tankers departed for Latin America, South Africa, the US and west Africa.

No jet fuel cargoes arrived in the ARA area during the week to 25 October, and inventories reached their lowest level since 17 May.

Naphtha stocks fell by 16pc, their lowest level since 6 September. Low Rhine water levels again weighed on demand from inland petrochemical end-users.

Tankers arrived from Finland, France, Norway and Poland. Europe remains under a naphtha supply overhang amid low demand from gasoline blenders and petrochemical end-users, prompting a sharp rise in eastbound bookings.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

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ARA independent product stocks fall

Gepubliceerd Jacob on 12 oktober 2018 15:14:01

London, 11 October (Argus) — Oil product stocks held in independent storage within the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub fell by 2.4pc from a week earlier, largely as a result of a significant drop in fuel oil volumes. Stock levels of other products were broadly stable.

Fuel oil stocks fell by 17.3pc to 1.03mn t, prompted by the loading and departure of several cargoes during the week to today. The Max Jacob, booked by Litasco to ship 130,000t of HSFO to Singapore loaded on 4 October and headed eastbound. The South Sea, booked by P66 to ship 130,000t of cracked fuel oil from Rotterdam to Singapore, likely started loading on 11 October. Tankers also left the ARA area for west Africa and the Mideast Gulf. Arbitrage economics to take high-sulphur material from northwest Europe to Asia Pacific strengthened in the past week. The Singapore second-month 380cst swap premium to HSFO cargo prices in northwest Europe averaged $33/t on 4-10 October, compared with an average spread of $29.70/t during the prior five trading days. A total of 430,000t of fuel oil was booked to Singapore this week.

Gasoline stocks fell by 25,000t to 1.06mn t, with outflows being supported by efforts to sell off stored summer-grade volumes. Cargoes arrived in the ARA area from Finland, Spain and the UK. Tankers left the area for the Mideast Gulf, Brazil, Latin America and the Mediterranean. Naphtha stocks fell by 11,000t to 341,000t, prompted by steady demand from inland petrochemical end-users and low volumes arriving in the area. Tankers arrived from Algeria, France and Portugal, and none were seen departing.

Stocks of gasoil rose by 102,000t to 3.04mn t, the highest level since mid-February 2018. Tankers arrived in the ARA area from Russia and Saudi Arabia, and departed for France, the Mediterranean and the UK. Low water levels on the river Rhine continued to impact barge traffic into Germany and France, bolstering interest in other forms of product transport. Cargo freight rates from the ARA continued to rise as a result, with some operators preferring to move material inland via other coastal outlets.

A single jet kerosene cargo arrived in the ARA area during the week to 11 October and a single tanker left for the UK. Inventories were effectively unchanged on the week at 674,000t. The Raysut partially offloaded in Rotterdam following a partial deposit into Fawley. The vessel had been sitting in the English Channel since 18 June, as the buyer was exercising some of its contract options by waiting to offload. Northwest European jet fuel demand has fallen since last week. Imports from east of Suez have been thin, with most arrivals entering UK and French ports.

Reporter: Thomas Warner

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ARA independent product stocks increase

Gepubliceerd Jacob on 28 september 2018 13:56:15

London, 27 September (Argus) — Oil product stocks held in independent storage within the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) trading hub rose by 6.3pc from a week earlier because of large gains in fuel oil and gasoline inventories.

Fuel oil stocks rose by a fifth from a week earlier as product was put into storage to be loaded on two Singapore-bound VLCCs. One of these tankers — the Ridgebury Artois — has likely started loading fuel oil and could shortly leave for Singapore. No VLCCs left during the past week, while the Suezmax Sabine departed for Asia-Pacific with 130,000t of fuel oil. Bookings on the route to Singapore have picked up pace this week as export economics improved following a decline in Singapore’s inventories to multi-week lows. The ARA region imported fuel oil from the Black Sea, the Baltic Sea and Spain.

Gasoline stocks also rose, climbing by 10pc amid limited export options. US demand for gasoline has been weak since the conclusion of the summer driving season. This was reflected in last week’s increase in stocks, which came despite lower domestic production. During the week to 21 September, implied demand dropped to a 17 week low, and was also down year on year, according to EIA data. Exports to the Middle East are also likely to slow in the coming week as regional refineries come back from unplanned shutdowns. The ARA region exported gasoline to the Mideast Gulf and west Africa during the past week.

Lack of export options and comparatively low demand also led to an increase in naphtha stocks, which climbed 6pc from a week earlier. The European naphtha market is well-supplied, while demand from gasoline blenders is low. And arbitrage economics to Asia-Pacific are unworkable, largely because of ethylene cracker maintenance in that region. No naphtha was exported from the ARA region this week, while product arrived from Algeria, France, Spain and the UK.

And diesel inventories rose by less than 1pc this week. US diesel production also has fallen, which is likely to lead to a decline in exports to Europe in the coming weeks. In Europe, water levels on the Rhine remain low, keeping barge rates high and limiting inland shipments. The economics for importing diesel into Europe remain weak. But this could change if Rhine river water levels rise, allowing German demand to access ARA gasoil stocks, reducing supplies and pushing prices higher.

Jet fuel stocks bucked the trend, dropping by 14,000t, or 2pc because of comparatively high export volumes. The ARA region shipped the product to Denmark and the UK, while importing some jet fuel from the Mediterranean.

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